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Autonomous Driving

How close are driverless cars to scale?

Live Updated 2025-12

Distance to goal

The single most intuitive view — current position against the end goal, on a log scale.

Weekly paid robotaxi rides

Metric detail
1101001k10k100k
now
450,000
Waymo
goal
~0.0 orders of magnitude to go

Headline indicators

Milestone timeline

Clear-cut events: crossed or not crossed.

5 achieved 0 in progress 1 locked

First public driverless robotaxi

2020-10
Waymo

Waymo One opened fully driverless rides to the public in Phoenix.

Paid driverless approved in San Francisco

2023-08
Waymo

Regulators allowed 24/7 paid driverless service in a major dense city.

Tesla launches a robotaxi pilot

2025-06
Tesla

Tesla began a limited robotaxi pilot in Austin — early and small-scale.

100M fully autonomous miles

2025-07
Waymo

Crossed 100M rider-only miles, doubling from 50M in seven months.

450,000+ paid rides per week

2025-12
Waymo

Roughly 1M rides a month across 10+ US cities, widening its lead.

Profitable, nationwide robotaxi service

~ 2030s

Driverless service that is broadly available and economically self-sustaining.

i

Every figure links to a primary source. We publish no invented scores. Tracker numbers are neutral; analysis is labelled separately.